Monday, February 11, 2013

BMW-Loving Canadians Rebuff Carney to Pile Up Auto Debt


The BMW M6 Gran Coupe is introduced at the 2013 North American International Auto Show in Detroit.
Canadians are finally starting to heed central bank chief Mark Carney’s warnings about the perils of taking on too much housing debt. Yet when it comes to borrowing for a new Porsche or BMW, they aren’t holding back.
Sales of Daimler AG’s Mercedes-Benz have jumped 168 percent since 2004 to 33,116 last year, while those of Volkswagen AG’s Porsche SE have gained 65 percent, according to DesRosiers Automotive Consultants Inc. data compiled by Bloomberg. Bayerische Motoren Werke AG’s BMW 3 Series sales exceeded Honda Motor Co.’s Accord last year as luxury automakers win over Canadians by expanding offerings and pricing some models closer to traditional family cars.
Canada’s major banks have more than tripled their lending to car buyers since 2007, the year before the global credit crisis struck, and automakers are increasing dealer financing. The appetite for cars may undermine the Bank of Canada’s forecast that consumer debt will stabilize around a record 165 percent of disposable income, one reason policy makers cited last month for delaying plans to raise interest rates.
“Canadians are feeling more and more confident and seem willing to increase the debt level at a faster pace again,” said Tom Higgins, Burlington, Ontario-based vice president of analytics and decision services at credit-reporting company TransUnion Corp. “It’s a little bit disconcerting from that perspective given all of the information and warnings that we hear from the Bank of Canada and from the finance minister.”

Global Crisis

Canada’s economy emerged from the global financial crisis faster than its Group of Seven peers, and none of its banks failed or required injections of public capital. Canadian house prices have risen 39 percent since June 2006, according to the Teranet-National Bank price index, while U.S. house prices fell 30 percent over the same period, according to the S&P/Case- Shiller Composite-20 home price index.
Canada’s benchmark Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index has gained 2.9 percent over the past 12 months, trailing the 13 percent gain in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index of U.S. stocks. Canadian government bonds have returned 2 percent over that period, compared with 1.7 percent for U.S. Treasuries, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch data. With its top credit rating, Canada has been a haven for foreign investment, government figures show.
European and U.S. stocks fell with Spanish and Italian bonds as the region’s finance ministers prepared to meet to discuss aid to Cyprus and Greece. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index dropped 0.6 percent today, the S&P 500 Index was down 0.1 percent in New York and the S&P/TSX fell 0.4 percent in Toronto.

Moody’s Downgrade

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-11/bmw-loving-canadians-rebuff-carney-to-pile-up-auto-debt-economy.html


Americans Are Tapping Into Home Equity Again

Nearly 11 million borrowers are underwater on their mortgages, owing more than their homes are worth, according to CoreLogic, and yet home equity lines of credit are suddenly on the rise again.

During the housing boom of the last decade Americans withdrew over $1 trillion in home equity. They did it through cash-out refinances, home equity loans, and home equity lines of credit. The latter allowed them to use their homes like an ATM. They spent the money on cars, televisions, vacations and fancy home upgrades. It was seemingly endless equity, until suddenly that equity was gone.
"Home prices are definitely a factor" in the recent rise home equity lines of credit, said Brad Blackwell, an executive with Wells Fargo Home Mortgage. "As they increase, people have more available equity."
Blackwell also pointed to increased consumer confidence, meaning borrowers now feel better about their ability to repay these loans. Both factors fueled a 19 percent jump in originations of home equity lines of credit at the end of last year, according to Equifax. In 2008, as housing was crashing, home equity line originations dropped 55 percent.
"Nationally we've seen a 31 percent increase in HELOC's year-over-year," said a spokesperson from JPMorgan Chase.

14 comments:

gaw said...

What they don't mention there is that from what I have seen a lot of the higher-end vehicles are leased, not purchased.

It enables the yupwardly mobile to drive that Bimmer, while paying like it was a Hyundai, so to speak. They can't really afford to buy the car, but they want everyone to think they can.

VW is advertising on the radio here: "lease a 2013 Jetta for $165/month for 3 years with $0 down" as an example.

A lot of people want to impress their neighbors with that shiny new car in the driveway. It's just another example of consumerism gone wrong.

chicken little said...

Then they certainly never grew up with MY father! He lectured me on cars and their 'instant' disproportion all the time. "It's the one thing that as soon as you cross the dealership line depreciates...therefore, you never spend money on buying a vehicle for anything other than simple transportation. Better to spend extra money on something that may appreciate."

Course, that was years ago and there isn't much around now that appreciates...other than possibly commodities.

Queenbee said...

Cl the one issue with that is if no one bought new cars we wouldn't have an inventory of used ones. Just a thought.

What I cannot believe is the link that Shaza sent me that banks are giving and Americans are taking HELOCs as if they didn't learn anything the first time.

YOUR HOME IS NOT AN ATM!

chicken little said...

Your home is worth what it is for shelter. That's it. Before the 'bubble' (like back in the 50's) you never saw such an idea. You could buy a home and then fix it up and you'd make maybe a few thousand or so.

Then came the run-up where everyone got their EQUITY loans. And they got equity loans on homes where they had no equity.

Watching the tv home shows always gave me a laugh. We NEED a four bedroom, three bathroom, granite kitchen counter home cause we're engaged.Yeah? What happened to a small home then building/saving your way up?

Young people came into this mix and they bought these homes with no money down OR mortgages that were sky-high and no one thought about how to pay, or what would happen if the heater broke or the roof leaked.

And the spin ads for this lifestyle keep going.

Queenbee said...

CL it's a mad mad mad mad world. I see very little intelligent life that is not raping and pillaging the planet and using others as slave labor. Owners seem to have lost respect for their workers and thus the term "Human Resources."

Queenbee said...

Wow look at Platinum go!!! SWC is so oversold that it really has no where to go. GAW thanks for the email. I will write back with my thoughts once I can.

Queenbee said...

Aside from my jokes Medical Marijuana Inc keeps climbing and I am wondering could this go to 2.00/share or more likely plummet back to .20/shr? Now Cannabis Science is getting some action as well.

Mammoth said...

I wouldn't wipe my @ss with german toilet paper, let alone ever even think about buying a bmw.

Never Forget!

Mammoth said...

I have always purchased and driven used cars. Yes, they can have issues, but so can that new car as soon as the warranty expires.

Never really cared if somebody is going to judge me for what kind of car i drive. (I must admit judging myself favorably because my house is paid off, though.)

Queenbee said...

Come on Mammoth tap that home equity and buy a Beemer. Better yet how about a Bentley? LOL

The last time I bought a new car was a mistake. Yvonne and I had a huge break up and I went out and bought a brand new Honda Prelude in 92. Now that was a sporty car and I got myself so far in debt, that I had to trade it back underwater. Not so smart was I 20 years ago.

The car I drive now is 12 years old that I bought when it was 2.

Queenbee said...

Hey Mammoth can you grow your own in Washington State now? Are there stores selling MJ? Not that I think you should with the little one around.

Mammoth said...

Queenbee, given what I know about growing a vegetable garden, it would be dangerous to give me some pot seeds.

Anyway, since the federal laws still permit land seizure for gtowing pot even though the Washington State Law allow this - I would not want to be the first individual to test this new law in court.

Queenbee said...

Mammoth I don't blame you at all and please don't think I was advocating, but imagine you would never have to work for anyone again. This is what I think they are afraid of. Plus the drug cartels who payroll many police, judges and politicians. Not to mention the prison industry that has mostly been privatized. I don't trust the laws regulating the banks, so why should anyone believe in newly passed pot laws. Oh wait, they could let the pot growers go and open up cells for the banksters. It could be a new grassroots (pun intended) business jailing bankers.

Queenbee said...

AXX take a look at today's action. It came across Brent Cook's Newsletter and I didn't act on it. I must not have been able to read the signs on the bus.