The MF Global Inc. (MFGLQ) brokerage has a shortfall of at least $1.6 billion to pay commodity customers’ claims, the trustee liquidating the firm said.
James Giddens, the trustee, gave the estimate today after counting allowable customer claims and the assets under his control. Giddens previously estimated the shortfall at about $1.2 billion and has now folded in $700 million that he is disputing with the administrators of MF Global’s U.K. affiliate. The gap, which applies to commodities customers who traded on U.S. and foreign exchanges, will change over time as claims are processed and assets recovered, he said.
“The estimated deficiency may rise or fall in significant amounts,” Giddens said in a statement.
The trustee has said customers of the bankrupt futures brokerage, formerly run by Jon Corzine, may not recover all their money. Giddens has traced most of the more than $327 billion in transactions completed during the brokerage’s last days. The banks, clearing houses and customers that received the funds may be subject to lawsuits seeking the money for customers missing funds from their accounts, Giddens has said.
Gap Figures
World’s Dumbest Traders Were at Credit Suisse: Jonathan Weil
The guilty pleas last week by two former Credit Suisse Group (CS)traders, on charges of falsifying their company’s asset values, revive an age-old question: How dumb do you have to be to get criminally convicted for a fraud you committed while working at a bank deemedtoo big to fail?
It’s a shame the television series “America’s Dumbest Criminals” went off the air more than a decade ago, because the cases of Salmaan Siddiqui, 36, and David Higgs, 42, would have provided wonderful fodder as an example of high finance gone feloniously brain-dead. Sure, their stories might not have the same mainstream appeal as, say, the video of a gun-wielding robber at a convenience store who wore a see-through plastic bag over his head as a disguise.
Still, their forays into illegality were so painfully dimwitted they deserve to be celebrated, if only to distract us from a more unnerving aspect of their story: In all probability, lots of other bankers committed the exact same kinds of acts during the financial crisis. And the vast majority of those who did will never be prosecuted, mainly because they weren’t so dense about the way they did it.
Imagine this: You are a Wall Street trader during the summer of 2007, specializing in complex mortgage bonds that no human being is capable of fully understanding. What little you do grasp about these bonds is that if their values go down too much, your year-end bonus won’t be as high as you want it to be.
Now You See
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-10/world-s-dumbest-traders-were-at-credit-suisse-commentary-by-jonathan-weil.html
Canadian Dollar Slides Most in a Month Amid Turmoil on Bailout for Greece
Canada’s dollar weakened the most in a month against its U.S. counterpart after European officials demanded Greece enact greater austerity measures before winning more funding, damping demand for riskier assets.
The currency dropped below parity with the U.S. dollar even after Statistics Canada data showed the nation recorded a trade surplus of C$2.7 billion ($2.7 billion) in December, the widest since October 2008. The currency had its first weekly loss since Jan. 6 as stocks and crude oil, Canada’s biggest export, fell.
“The overriding situation in the euro zone is weighing on sentiment,” said Omer Esiner, chief market analyst in Washington at Commonwealth Foreign Exchange Inc., a currency brokerage. “The markets have been overly optimistic.”
The currency, nicknamed the loonie for the image of the aquatic bird on the C$1 coin, depreciated 0.7 percent to C$1.0014 per U.S. dollar at 5 p.m. Toronto time. It weakened as much as 0.9 percent, the biggest intraday drop since Jan. 5, and declined 0.8 percent for the week. The loonie touched 99.26 cents yesterday, the strongest level since Oct. 31. One Canadian dollar buys 99.86 U.S. cents.
Implied volatility for one-month options on the Canadian dollar versus the greenback touched a 10-month low before paring its decline as the loonie weakened. It reached 7.66 percent, the lowest level since April 11, before rising to 8.08 percent. Implied volatility, which traders quote and use to set option prices, signals the expected pace of swings in the underlying currency. It has averaged 10 percent over the past year.
38 comments:
Bee
I did promise some time ago to do a review of Jim Rickards' "Currency Wars". Perhaps now is the time to give you my thoughts on it as it links into the previous thread on the potential for a confiscation of your PMs by Obama or by Dave and George his catamites if you are in the UK.
To begin with, the book due to its slim size, is a great primer if you have never studied economics before. It also good as a sort of travelogue to the places which are the key battlegrounds in the currency war. It has changed my mind on Dubai, which I had always considered previously as being a sort of white trash holiday destination par excellence, to which Jim describes instead as actually being a real centre of intrigue, sort of like a 21st century Casablanca.
The chapter entitled "Chaos" should make most goldbugs start to want to read the book by only holding it with one hand, as it describes the final collapse of the $. Gold is seized, though in Jim's scenario not from individual's its not worth the effort for the amounts they hold. They just get whacked with a windfall profits tax instead. A worrying thing for anyone with a Bullionvault account is that I saw some stuff the other day that the USG has the combination for the Viamat vault in NYC. My BV stash is in Zurich, however what happened to Wegelin Bank shows that the Americans can even destroy something over there too.
Jim's prognostication of a gold backed $ however falls apart in my view. As such a currency does not come with an unlimited printing facility. So how in the meantime did the government get America of its entitlement culture of social security, medicare and medicaid without declaring war on its own people? After all current events in Greece show us that the people as a whole will not let go of their handouts easily
Bee
Here is another example of how you are missing out by not coming to the UK (60 other US citizens have claimed asylum here in the meantime) and start helping yourself to the cornucopia that is our welfare state.
These two won £10 million on the lottery and are still legally entitled to (and they take it) £500 per month in disability benefits. As is usually the case they are not British either
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2098504/Michael-Jean-OShea-Mansion-retreat-lottery-winners-claiming-benefits.html
Thank you WMW. If something happens to Yvonne I will be your neighbor.
What Me Worry, you'd better stop posting here and get back to work.
After all, you need to pay taxes to support all those people who are depending on you! (Not including your family.)
BTW, April 15 is the day income taxes are due here in the US of A, so you will no doubt soon see many American news articles about taxes here.
That's right you better work some overtime too. Always reminds me of the song George Harrison wrote The Taxman.
Let me tell you how it will be
There's one for you, nineteen for me
'Cause I'm the taxman, yeah, I'm the taxman
Should five per cent appear too small
Be thankful I don't take it all
'Cause I'm the taxman, yeah I'm the taxman
If you drive a car, I'll tax the street,
If you try to sit, I'll tax your seat.
If you get too cold I'll tax the heat,
If you take a walk, I'll tax your feet.
Don't ask me what I want it for
If you don't want to pay some more
'Cause I'm the taxman, yeah, I'm the taxman
Now my advice for those who die
Declare the pennies on your eyes
'Cause I'm the taxman, yeah, I'm the taxman
And you're working for no one but me.
Mammoth the dealer nearby that I traded my silver for gold called me and had just got in a 2010 Buffalo in the mint sheet. I ran right down and bought it. He said someone is bringing in a bunch of Gold Eagles on Monday and I told him to call me as I will buy 4 or 5. Immediate gratification is so much fun. Drive 1 mile, write a check and walk out with my coins. He has good prices and I will ask if he ships if you are interested. He will even look to fill what you are looking for and let you know when they come his way.
Mammoth
As I work for one of the TBTF banks there are plenty of other taxpayers out there busting a gut on my behalf already. Actually when you consider the UK government's budget and how much is spent on handouts and propping up failed businesses, I am amazed why the likes of Kyle Bass have not taken an interest on shorting UK government debt.
Here is an interesting little game that you can play with yourself, when did you last buy something that was "Made in Britain"? Now you can see why the UK economy is one of the great ponzis
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_budget
I for years thought BMWs were made in the UK. I thought it stood for British Motor Works.
You do have some crappy weather compared to Orlando. Today it is just awesome. It was 58F last night and about 72F all day. Supposed to get colder tonight in the low 40s to high 30s. Winter strikes back!
WMW from the budget other than provide social services the UK doesn't do much of anything. I cannot remember ever buying anything that said made in the UK except my Rolls Royce and my chauffeur always fills up at BP stations.
Here's a stat for you In June 2010 British Manufacturing accounted for 8.2% of the workforce. Woohoo!
This is interesting if you want to know why manufacturing jobs will not be returning to the West. Its a lot more subtle than just super cheap wages in China, as Steve Jobs explained to Uncle Tombama. Its more about organisation of the workforce. Though a cynic would say the pharoahs had a well organised workforce when they built the pyramids too
http://www.democracynow.org/2012/2/10/apple_accustomed_to_profits_and_praise
Hedge fund manager and writer Doug Kass just sent out a blast titled SELL EVERYTHING.
Why? Because Roubini is bullish.
Bee
Sorry but you are still not buying British. Rolls Royce is owned by BMW and BP is a mostly American owned company, or that was our excuse when they crapped allover the Gulf
Geez I guess I will still keep my Rolls then and tell the chauffeur he can buy at Shell stations again. Here I thought I could support the UK since they will support me if I move there.
"college to take classes like 'Learning on YouTube' or 'The Science of Harry Potter"
thanks for the laugh cl
mugabe - hope you are well now mate
Queen - British MW lol
The funeral was sad, but we had a Polish wake THursday nite, shots of vodka and beer.
Got home last night after a tense 6 hour drive in a blizzard. The rental car I has was a Chev Impala, which is not a bad car really, but for the fact it had all-season radials and they were not very good in the snow.
Like when you hit the brakes on fresh snow, the car just slides, with the ABS hammering away. LEts just say I had to drive cautiously.
But going there was nice, a clear sunny day, with about 0% air pollition, you could see for miles.
Mammoth - Well lucky you didn't get hurt there.
Maybe you can embarasss the company into spending a little more on maintenance. Try putting up 'CAUTION' and 'DANGER!:HAZARD!' signs all over the place, with the yellow/black striped tape.
If they ask why you are doing it, say you want to improve your work place's saftey record, which then costs them less for insurance, saving the company money. And you as a dedicated loyal employee are always looking for ways to do that. cough.
GAW glad you are home safely. Mugabe has been quiet this week so he must still be hurting.
Shaza I don't know but I am getting the feeling this market is going to come crashing down before May.
The idea of the Posal Service is good, in theory. But the USPS has all sorts of stupid rules imposed by Congress, which makes it's decline a political issue. The rise of the internet just accelrated the decline by many years.
Even in Canada, the postal service is in decline, and there is talk of downsizing as letter and package volumes fall.
They are cheap to ship with, and usually it works OK. Much more helpful and non-bureaucratic than they were years ago. Local postal outlets are in Shoppers Drug Mart pharmacy chain, which are everywhere. Or local stores in remote areas. Not many actual "Post Offices" left.
So the power of the union was much diminished, and now it's more like a big courier service, with good online tracking and werb services, 1-800 numbers etc. Not as good as FedEx or UPS, but close.
"local" mail is to "neighborhood boxes" at road side, in most areas now. Only older areas get actual postal delivery to the door daily.
when did you last buy something that was "Made in Britain"?
CHEESE! We have purchased a couple pieces of excellent Stilton recently, and we also love Wensleydale cheese with fruit bits in it (like cranberries and apricots. Not both in the same piece of cheese, of course.)
And last year in Zurich, we were walking through a food fair at the main train station when we came across a booth that was selling nothing but cheeses made in England. Bought a heart-sheped hunk of cheddar that was sealed in red wax and took it home to Canada. Didn't even have to smuggle it, like we did one time when we brought a piece of Italian robiola with black truffles into Australia. That was some goooooood cheddar!
So when I think of what Britain can do, cheese comes to mind.
Right now it appears the long sad Greek drama is nearing the endgame.
ZH: "The Cost Of The Combined Greek Bailout Just Rose To €320 Billion In Secured Debt, Or 136% Of Greek GDP"
The radio is reporting "Greek bailout rose to $175 Billion" (up from the previous failout of E110 Billion of May/10), which makes the total E295 B.
Who knows, but it seems the Greek failout package is growing by E5 or E10 B every day.
It's swelling so fast, Germany and France may choke on it, losing credit ratings. Never mind the ongoing Greek revolt.
Tyler says Angela Merkel has had enough of Greece, but will she let them default?
The 'draft agreement' which was 'leaked' has all sorts of Ponzi like schemes to shift the debt to the ECB and EFSF. There is talk in the air now of "offical" (IMF, ECB, EU and a few select large friends) having their interests protected. A "haircut" on Greek debt will be covered by taxpayers in EUrope, is the intention.
But the situation is at a critical point, a decision point looms.
If the ECB and Germany buckle and agree to pay the Greek bar tab, the rest of the PIGS and beyond will be standing in line, hand out.
Thanks for the primer on Canada Post, GAW. We still get mail delivered to the box outside our front door (and it's even up a set of stairs to get to our porch) but we're in a city. Canada Post (and Australia Post too) does not pick your mail UP from your box, though. In the U.S., the mailman will still take away letters you want to send. In Canada and Oz, you have to go to a postbox. Another reason the U.S. Postal Service is better!
Bukko - Well said in your Post Office comment.
The 'elites' have no long term vision at all beyond looting for themselves.
The corporate oligarchists and Banksters have no regard for their home country as far as promoting employment and a healthy economy.
Which leads to a decline of civilization in all sectors over time, as society stagnates.
Canada Post will take my mail, as a rural mailbox user. I usually mail anything I need when I go to town anyway, I forget to leave it for my mailman.
But I can get the best service in the local actual 'Post Office', if you get there before 4:15 PM or so, you can make the daily truck, and it will be delivered to most areas within roughly 1,000 miles or so next day or 2nd day. And much cheaper than FedEx or UPS.
Though they don't provide a signature anymore, apparently the electronic reader they carried was too expensive, so drivers now mark how they delivered your 'Priority Package', like the informative phrases - 'company name' or 'door'. LOL.
FedEx is so far ahead of them it's laughable, as are UPS. Just on organization.
What me worry - thanks for the review of 'Currency Wars' there mate.
I agree, it all sounds plausible, until they get to the "gold backed" and/or "hard" currency.
At which I point I LOL, as those who think our modern internet global interconnected world can function with only "hard currency", the really hard part is your thinking.
Daily ForEx trades are north of $4 Trillion, and straight up bank transfers a multiple of that. Every day.
Which is one big reason the US $ can maintain global reserve currency status. There is simply no other currency big enough to contain that amouny of wealth it represents. And none who want in practical terms to assume the role or can are on the horizon.
"approximately 500 tonnes of gold were sold to the U.S. Treasury in 1933 at the rate of $20.67 per troy ounce."
Later raised to an "official price" of $35 (in 1937 IIRC), which gave the Treasury a nice paper profit. Which politicians promply wasted, I'm sure.
Which price the US "offical gold holdings" in NY or Ft Knox, are still valued at today - $35. Which re-marked to say $1500 or $2000, "officially", would help reduce the US debt:GDP ratio too, a bit. Not sure, haven't added it up.
The US debt has been guesstimated at $30 Trillion or more, or 320 of GDP, long past the point where Greece and the PIGS blew up.
Scary.
But I have seen goldbugs use that to bolster their arguments: "Gold even did very well dureing the Great Depression, rising 169% to $35!"- well yes, it did, but by Government decree of some sort, that was not a free "market" environment.
Today they will simply most likely go the "windfall tax" route, with heavy taxes on gold/silver trading, and even heavier penalties for evasion. Rther than physically search deposit boxes.
But a site like "Bullion Vault" or "BitCoin" is a prime target. Increased audits of "coin dealers" will probably be likely. Maybe Federal Task Forces on stakeout. Ouch.
I see your subtle joke of posting the link to the UK "Budget".
The BoE has emulated Japan, in the quest to avoid total collapse from a severe case of Banksteritis. Massive QE programs, which have done little, combined with "austerity".
But the UK will manage, if it stays the course, which is politically and socially dubious, to eventually get to a state of financial semi-respectability, at least compard to it's EUropean neighbors.
Austerity is never easy, but there is no choice when the finances get bad enough. A fact spend free Socialists all over EUrope failed to listen to for over 30 years. Socialism works fine until you run out of other people's money, as Thatcher said, and she was correct.
cl - you have to battle the bureaucrats online these days, on their web sites. Their 'workflow' is all online now, no bothersome paper, or as little as possible, in theory.
If you need technical help with any issues, ask away.
And good luck. Fightback for your consumer rights.
That Market Watch story you had posted about rare earths is biased against non-Chinese producers, I think.
There are many large corporations who need rare earths who I'm sure would want to buy some other than from China, just for supply chain security reasons alone.
So they have no problems selling the material I think, to somne extent at least, despite a looming over supply as China slows.
Longer term, when the global economy ever does recover, demand will surge. Unless you think electronic gadgets are going to go out of fashion
http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2012/02/more-on-greece-and-nationalism.html
Excellent analysis there, and highly probable.
"... As a result there will be a Scylla and Charybdis of inflationary and deflationary forces, which will force the hands of central bankers in adding and withdrawing liquidity. Add in the likely volatility in government spending and taxation and you have the makings of a depression shaped like a series of W’s consisting of short and uneven business cycles. The secular force is the D-process and the deleveraging, so I expect deflation to be the resulting secular trend more than inflation.
Needless to say, this kind of volatility will induce a wave of populist sentiment, leading to an unpredictable and violent geopolitical climate and the likelihood of more muscular forms of government.
Last April I said that unless we see a multi-year recovery economy in which the nagging debt and default issues are entirely removed, economic nationalism will return with a vengeance. And that means political conflict in which the potential for armed responses is high. This is still the case now."
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/ambroseevans-pritchard/100014720/greek-death-spiral-accelerates/
"Another normal day at the Hellenic Statistical Authority.
We learn that:
Greece's manufacturing output contracted by 15.5pc in December from a year earlier.
Industrial output fell 11.3pc, compared to minus 7.8pc in November.
Unemployment jumped to 20.9pc in November, up from 18.2pc a month earlier.
I have little further to add. This is what a death spiral looks like.
It is what can happen if you join a fixed exchange system, then take out very large debts in what amounts to a foreign currency, and then have simultaneous monetary and fiscal contraction imposed upon you.
Germany discovered this on the Gold Standard when it racked up external debt from 1925 to 1929 (owed to American bankers) in much the same way as Greece has done.
When the music stopped – ie, when the Fed raised rates from 1928 onwards – Germany blew apart in much the same way as Greece is blowing apart. This is not a cultural or anthropological issue. It is the mechanical consequence of capital flows into a country that cannot handle it, as Germany could not handle it in the late 1920s.
By the way, Greeks work an average 42 hours a week, one of the highest in Europe. Just want to put the record straight on that."
Amazing how simple it can be to communicate with people and have them understand a certain topic, you made my day.
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