Sunday, January 22, 2012

Vancouver Is Second-Costliest Housing Market


Vancouver displaced Sydney as the least-affordable housing market after Hong Kong among large English-speaking cities, as home pricesrose faster than incomes, a study of 325 metropolitan areas worldwide showed.
Vancouver’s median home price of C$678,000 ($686,400) in the third quarter was 10.6 times its median pretax household income of C$63,800, making the city “severely unaffordable,” Demographia said in a report today. A ratio of 3 or less is considered “affordable,” according to the public-policy firm’s survey of markets in Australia, New Zealand, Ireland, the U.K., the U.S., Canada and Hong Kong.
Sydney’s ratio of median home price to income was 9.2, while Hong Kong’s was 12.6, a record for the eight-year-old survey, surpassing the previous high of 11.5 for Los Angeles in 2007. Home prices in Hong Kong, Vancouver and Sydney haven’t plunged as they have elsewhere, such as in Ireland, now the second most-affordable country, after the U.S., the study said.
“Housing affordability generally improved in the surveyed nations, though the most unaffordable markets, Hong Kong and Vancouver, became even more unaffordable,” wrote Wendell Cox, principal of Belleville, Illinois-based Demographia, and Hugh Pavletich, managing director of Pavletich Properties Ltd., a commercial developer and investment company in Christchurch, New Zealand.
Policies limiting lots available for construction drove up land prices, putting homes out of reach for middle-class buyers and younger workers in cities such as Vancouver and Sydney, the researchers said. The median price of a detached house in metropolitan Vancouver reached a record C$900,000 in April 2011, according to the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver.

‘Massively Deteriorating’

“The causes of massively deteriorating housing affordability are not a mystery,” Cox and Pavletich said. “They inevitably result from more restrictive land-use regulations adopted by governments with insufficient attention to economic fundamentals.”
The study focuses on the home-affordability ratio, not absolute prices. It doesn’t take into account such influences as falling interest rates, an influx of foreign buyers or the attractions of climate and coastal location.


Paper and Physical Silver Prices Are Not Decoupling Yet

The good news for silver noobs just starting to get interested in the precious metals and educating themselves (yes, I use that term loosely) online is that there are easy ways to tell which sources have an idea what they are talking about, and which sources are just spouting the same crap that they heard others spout, joining in the groupthink, and living in the land where anyone who doubts that silver is going to $200/ oz in short order is a bankster shill cartel manipulator.   You just have to know what to look for.
One such example of this nonsense is the claim that “paper prices and physical prices are decoupling.”   They’re not.  They haven’t been decoupling, we’ve covered this before, and they’re still not.  I just wanted to write another post on this because with the Sprott Physical Silver Trust secondary offering, we have another concrete example of the NON-divergence of “physical” and “paper” prices.
So let’s completely ignore the fact that Eric Sprott himself told you “we can buy silver, basically, at spot,”  after all, that was last year – maybe things have changed?  No – let’s go to the math.  Remember yesterday’s post when I explained how you can approximate the new NAV of PSLV before it was posted on the website?  Well, now that the website has updated data, we can do even better – we can calculate the price per ounce $PSLV paid for its silver.
Let’s look at the before and after (the secondary offering, that is) snapshots of the Trust.  Before:

22 comments:

Queenbee said...

KD posted this NY times article on his website. If this is true and people don't care who is making their iPhone than it is really a mute point. I am ambivalent as I refuse to own any more Apple products.

How the U.S. Lost Out on iPhone Work

Mr. Kowalski said...

There is a website on Vancouver's real estate problem.. it was called "mansion or crack shack" or something to this effect. My understanding is that tons of Chinese are pouring into Vancouver, and Im thinking it's Chinese money making this problem worse than it would otherwise be.

edgar said...

Hello Queenbee,

I don't buy crAAPL anything. I prefer Taiwan or Japan made if I can't buy made in usa.

Queenbee said...

What is sad is I cannot find many Laptops that are not made in China. My Dell Laptop (made in China) is given to me from the company (so I have no choice) and my Blackberry is made in Canada or Mexico. I have a Samsung LCD TV made in South Korea, but I think they don't make any TVs in the US anymore. I do drive a Ford Crown Vic but who knows where that was built.

Queenbee said...

I think that article above just kind of pushed my buttons and I really don't like China for the abuses if human rights. That story of having workers in dorms and waking them up with a biscuit and tea to work a 12 hour shift for 17 dollars/day made me very upset and a mac was my first computer. I never bought another mac or apple product again.

Queenbee said...

Has anyone noticed the action on UXG as of mid December? Minera Andes I believe is merging with them soon. From what I am told they have the money and the structure and US Gold has the property. Should be a match made in gold heaven.

Queenbee said...

Mr K I found that site and got almost all of them wrong. It shows a picture of a home and two boxes Crack Shack or Mansion. The prices are just obscene and when that bubble bursts look out below. I don't think OZ will do much better, but Shaza has her pulse on it and thinks it won't be anything like the US.

Also for all you Apple users I apologize for going off on Apple this weekend. They do make fine products. I think that story about the Apple factory in China stirred some patriotic resentment. Is that what it will come to here? Will we become wage slaves living in corporate dorms and woken at any time of the night of day?
I think I read that 80 year olds are still working to make ends meet.

Also the passing of a great college football coach who was held responsible and fired for something his assistant coach did, Joe Paterno of Penn State died of Cancer. He said he was afraid to resign years earlier, because other coaches who quit at his age, died shortly thereafter.

I think GAW was saying a while back that working was reinvigorating to him. No one wants to be marginalized and considered a burden on society. Even those who are. I thank god that Yvonne is getting better. She still has a way to go, but her strength is coming back and when she has to, she can now get out of the bed and into the wheelchair on her own.

gaw said...

Glad there is some good news there Queen, and hope Yvonne continues to recover.

Apple deserves all the criticism you can throw at them, don't worry about it. Along with the abusive practices in the making of the iCrap they sell, there is the mindset of the company, which can be summed up as "arrogance".

The terms of their contract language if you want to create an app for the iPhone are probably more abusive than Microsoft would ask for, and that is just a symptom of how they always try to lock you in to an all-Apple system where it is almost impossible to use somebody elses software, as only Apple blessed products are allowed to work on their systems.

What really makes me laugh is the Apple fans who insist they are far better than Microsoft, when in fact they are actually much worse, as hard as that is to achieve, they've done it.

Another example is Apple's new plan to sell iPad2s for students to have all their textbooks on - totally self-serving, probably cause thousands of job losses, but as long as Apple can make more profit, they will sell it as "progress", when in fact it is nothing of the kind. Anyone can print and buy or sell a textbook now, once Apple controls it - not so much, it will be pay Apple or don't sell any.

So I boycott crApple on general principles, as I refuse to support arrogant corporate monopolists. They are scum, and I urge all readers to boycott all Apple products.

gaw said...

http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/01/what-real-journalism-looks-like-vincent-browne-v-the-ecb/

"This is what real Journalism looks like. Those of you in America might not recognize it.

In this video from a European Central Bank press-conference in Ireland, journalist Vincent Browne demands that the ECB representative explain why the ECB required the Irish people to bail out a bank’s uninsured creditors. The bureaucrat mouths bland reassurances, then asserts (despite all appearances to the contrary) that the question has been resolved. Browne doesn’t let up."

gaw said...

The world awaits the "resolution" of the "private sector Bond holders" of Greek debt. Sadly for the EUroTrash politicians, some "evil speculators" aka Hedge Funds have bought up a large portion of the private debt on the cheap, and are totally in the drives seat now in any "negotiations".

What aren't really negotiations, as Germany insists the private holders take a large haircut and then get a low 2% interest rate on "new Bonds", which is absurd. Unless you think Greece is so credit-worthy they need pay no more than 2% - a fantasy land theory.

So, we are rooting for the Hedge Funds, to refuse to agree to any coercive deal, and make the EUroScum force a deal that triggers CDS on Greek Bonds, which will collapse the entire EUroTrash house of shaky Bankster cards, a necessary step towards a lasting resolution to this crisis.

Of course, EUroTrash politicians will resist to the end any hint of reality, as bailing out some more Banksters is always preferable to making them pay for their reckless and idiotic "investments" of past years and insane leverage levels.

It's all about the Banksters in France and Germany now, as John Mauldin detailed in his excellent analysis of the other day. Citizens of Greece etc - irrelevant, to the Banksters, at least.

gaw said...

ZH: "Why Are Greek Credit Event Swaps Still In The Mid 60s?"

"Peter Tchir of TF Market Advisors,

As we wait for more IIF announcements about the Greek Private Sector Involvement (PSI), Greek CDS remains bid above 60 points up front. For a contract that is about to be "worthless", this seems to have a lot of value.

Why would Greek CDS still be so well bid?..."

Excellent analysis there of the insoluble Greek Bond problems.

There was supposed to be a "deal" announced today, so meeting EUroTrash politicians could rubber stamp it, and clear Greece for one more Failout to be dispensed.

But this 'deal" is worthless anyway, Greece still won't be on a sustainable footing no matter what happens, their debt will still be far too massive. As the "senior Bond holders" (IMF, ECB and other EUroTrash GOvernments) are not going to take any losses, of course, they want the "private sector" to take the haircut, while they take none.

The whole sorry debacle is just a clear illustration of systemic corruption and gross incompetence at the "top level" - the more important your job title, the dumber you are, obviously.

gaw said...

Every word of this MSM coverage is a lie, distortion, or half-truth, at best:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/23/us-eurozone-ministers-idUSTRE80L10520120123

"Germany, France press for rapid Greek debt deal

(Reuters) - Germany and France pressed on Monday for a rapid deal between Greece and its private creditors that cuts its soaring debt to sustainable levels and said they were committed to a sealing a new bailout for Athens by March to avert a disastrous default.

Ahead of that meeting, French Finance Minister Francois Baroin said an elusive deal to convince the banks and investment funds that own Greek debt to accept deep losses on their holdings appeared to be "taking shape."

But his German counterpart Wolfgang Schaeuble warned that any deal must help Greece cut its debt mountain to "not much more than 120 percent of GDP" by the end of the decade, from roughly 160 percent today, something many economists believe will not be achieved by the existing plan."

Lying liars and they lies they tell.

gaw said...

How much will it take to bail out EUrope? A lot!:

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2012/01/23/844881/thats-not-a-bazooka/

"*This* is a bazooka.

Not a €2,000bn bazooka… a €5,000bn bazooka to repair the eurozone, according to Peter Boone and Simon Johnson, writing for the Peterson Institute where they are both fellows. In fact, somewhere between €2,000bn and €2,500bn is a good scenario, they argue; their base scenario is €2,800bn.

The assumptions in their scenarios are not terribly hard to believe..."

I'd go with the worst case their, as EU area economic fundamentals have massively deteriorated lately, and all previous "assumptions" are out the window now.

Under present policies, EUrope faces a decade of severe Depression, and that still won't resolve their issues - as the debts will still be too big, and the ability to pay too small.

gaw said...

Note the Bankster dictates to Greece: that 120% debt to GDP is their "best case" "by 2020" under a non-default scenario.

So Greeks will have a Depression for a decade, and still have huge debt after that. That works out very well for somebody, but not Greeks.

But leaving the EUro is mind-numbingly complicated, if you want to review the lifetime of work for millions of lawyers it represents, and that is just on the Bond and CDS legal, here:

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2012/01/23/845021/when-a-derivatives-counterparty-leaves-the-euro/

gaw said...

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/dac141b0-4111-11e1-b521-00144feab49a.html#axzz1jp66LhOF

"Satyajit Das: Trust no one with your money is the tragic legacy of the crisis.

The first casualty of war is said to be the truth but, in financial crises, it is trust that dies, writes Das, author of Extreme Money: The Masters of the Universe and the Cult of Risk. While the after-effects of the recent crisis are constantly debated, this deeper issue remains unaddressed. Paul Seabright, a professor at the Toulouse School of Economics, has identified traits that underpin social systems such as money: the capacity to weigh up the costs and benefits of trusting others and the instinct to return favours in kind or seek revenge when trust is betrayed. When it is working well, the system enables strangers to safely deal with each other. But this fragile system, on which the global economy depends, is now at risk of failing..."

gaw said...

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2012/01/20/843081/mark-faber-on-why-equities-are-better-than-safe-assets/

" Relative to government bonds, equities are attractive. If you really think it through and you are bearish as I am and you think the whole financial system will one day collapse, maybe three years or five years or 10 years, one day there’ll be a reset and everything will be essentially started anew. Then you are better off in equities than in government bonds because a lot of government bonds will either default or they will have to print so much money that the purchasing power of money will depreciate very rapidly.

Also known as how an inflationista interprets the shortage of safe assets problem."

gaw said...

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2012/01/23/841351/death-sanitised-through-credit/

"So, the charts help to explain a bit further what the ultimate point of the ECB’s three-year liquidity operations has been. It’s not been to spark a carry trade to ‘covertly’ stabilise or monetise sovereign debt...

In fact — charts like the first one above tend to show that the central bank’s mission was “only” to stop a heart attack of bank deleveraging in the eurozone. It “only” stemmed the flight from the last functioning sector of the interbank market – secured lending – and substituted itself as the broker of last resort. Admittedly, banks could still quite easily run out of collateral and thus fail in this environment (Dexia!). But for the rest it’s a huge move..."

gaw said...

There have been so many contradictory stories about the current state of Greek related news, here is the latest rumor, sounds like Germany is standing fast:

ZH: "EURUSD Sliding On Anti-Rumor From Europe - Headlines "No More Money To Greece From Eurozone, IMF"

"This is not the rumor that the central planning doctor ordered. This time from Dow Jones:

* No Intention By Euro Zone, IMF To Give More Money To Greece, Say Dow Jones Sources -DJ
* Major Greece creditors made clear EUR130 bn bailout loan "won't be increased by a single euro" - DJ

It remains to be clear if Greece will even get the €130 billion loan still..."

Stand by, a completely opposite story will be along any minute.

You can't make this stuff up.

Mammoth said...

Just now getting caught up on yesterday's posts.

Chicken Little highlighted twhat the issue is:
"...our political classes have been "captured" by the financial services sector, a sector allowed to run riot, in recent years, to an ever greater degree."

So, how do We the People wrest control away from the banks & financial puppetiers?

Queenbee said...

Mammoth I am afraid the time to do that is long past. GAW great stuff and that video just shows how nonsensical it is for the Irish to pay off bad bets by the banks and how the ECB is just lying scum.
Also I take back my apology about Apple and agree with everything he said. I just didn't want to offend those readers who use their products even though I hate the way they do business.

chicken little said...

Mammoth-I highlighted it but the guy at the Telegraph WROTE it...which leads me to my 'fightin' words' over Apple; Papa Joe, etc. below.

I love my Mac. That said, I find it interesting that they are going to bring out a 'free' software/app for publishing your own book. As a would-be novel writer, (and author published in 2 CHICKEN SOUP books) I gotta tell you that unless you are Stephen King, Nora Roberts, or a few other authors, you make little money writing. Most of what you make in royalties is pittance and publishers are busy cheating their writers out of every penny they can on e-books. In fact, with the advent of the computer EVERYONE is a writer. It makes no difference if you are good at it. Anyone can publish anything online. Bloggers 'report' news. Right. Maybe some do with some sense of 'fair' reporting but not all. Just yesterday I got another e-mail reporting what the 2014 cost of Medicare will be for Seniors (warning on Obama) etc. I did check this one out at Snopes (not that I believe THEM all the time, either). But it's another case where ignorance online abounds. Words have always been twisted. That is one reason why you have to be so careful and many flame wars break out. It has to do with intent and inflection which you get in face-to-face conversation vs. 'media'. Twitter, Facebook, My Space, Blogs, can do a great job of spreading rumors, half-truths, etc.

As for Papa Joe my biggest complaint is one of LAW. He is/was supposed to be innocent until proven guilty. He's been judged in a court of opinion and slammed right and left. No matter what he did/didn't do, he will answer before a Higher Power. For those who don't agree, then he'll answer the way all humans answer by returning to the soil. (Equal opportunity ideas here ;-)

As for Apple doing business...um, what about NAFTA. It was supposed to be 'great' for us. Let's face it, buggy whip manufacturers were put out of business by cars. All things change. Eventually, we may live the 'Jetson' life. I'd like to have a console to tell what to make for dinner instead of slaving over a hot stove! It isn't just Apple, either. We are NOT going to get manufacturing back. To do so we'd have to tariff China, etc. Ain't gonna happen. Face it. So we should be focusing on INNOVATION and develop what we can. Even then, other countries will steal the plans and make stuff cheaper. Our greatest asset in this country has always been thinking OUT of the box. But as we teach to test now; value toys, sports, and Rap and movie stars rather than education, I think innovation is lost. Heck, every new movie is a retread! I predict hundreds of WWI rip offs thanks to Warhorse and Downton Abby. Remember, if 1 CSI/Law and Order/Cooking Challenge show is good, then 10 must be better!

Just returned from the gray, gloomy, rainy Phil. VA. Hubby definitely has Parkinson's and they are starting meds. I just have to watch him as 20% of people start to gamble, have 'sexual' urges, become shop-a-holics, etc.

Over my dead big Germany fanny! Seriously, I know it's time and if it will help then fine. But reading the side-effects of meds is enough to make you break out in a sweat.

jain housing said...

nice post