Saturday, December 31, 2011

Billabong Left Behind as Thrifty Shoppers Sit Out Australia Boom: Retail

Australia’s mining boom, which has powered the nation’s economy to faster growth than the U.S., Europe and Japan, isn’t filtering down to the country’s A$250 billion ($252 billion) retail sector. One reason: a national savings rate near a quarter-century high.
Shares in electronics retailer JB Hi-Fi Ltd. (JBH), clothing chainBillabong International Ltd. (BBG) and camping-gear seller Kathmandu Holdings Ltd. (KMD) have all slumped by more than a quarter this month after the companies said first-half earnings will miss forecasts.Myer Holdings Ltd. (MYR), the nation’s biggest department store chain, is shutting a store, reviewing other outlets and moving forward clearance sales.
Households are cutting spending as prices for food and utilities surge amid borrowing costs that were the highest in the developed world until last month. Retailers are responding with discounts of as much as 80 percent in post-Christmas promotions to make up for disappointing December sales.
“This year has been a very tight Christmas,” said Reidell Bragg, 34, an office administrator from Sydney browsing through the city’s Queen Victoria Building, a Romanesque sandstone mall built in 1898. “I just can’t afford it this year. Rent, bills, everything seems to have gone up.”
Prices for electricity, water and heating gas have risen 40 percent in the past three years, and food is 11 percent more expensive, according to government data. That compares with an 8 percent gain in the broader consumer price index (AUCPIYOY) that includes those components.

Savings Boost

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-29/billabong-left-behind-as-thrifty-shoppers-sit-out-australia-boom-retail.html


Exxon Wins $749M for Nationalized Venezuela Assets

Now let's see them collect. I am sure Chavez will gladly just write them a check. QB

Petroleos de Venezuela SA (PDVSA) must pay about $750 million toExxon Mobil Corp. (XOM), a tenth of what the U.S. company is seeking, for assets nationalized by Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez in 2007, according to two people with knowledge of the case.
The International Chamber of Commerce in New York, an international arbitration court, gave a “favorable” ruling to Venezuela’s state oil company, a company spokesman said today. The World Bank’s International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes, or ICSID, is also due to rule on the claim in a suit filed against the Venezuelan government.
The people, who declined to be identified because they’re not authorized to speak about the case publicly, said the decision was handed down late this month.
Chavez, who has nationalized assets in the energy, metals, cement and telecommunications industries, faces about 20 arbitration cases at the ICSID, according to the Washington- based center’s website. Venezuelan Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez said in September that the country was willing to pay Exxon $1 billion after Carlos Escarra, the country’s prosecutor general, told reporters that the two companies were negotiating a settlement of about $6 billion.

‘Relatively Significant’

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-31/exxon-wins-749m-for-nationalized-venezuela-assets.html

This video really made me laugh. KD and Mad Max. I am not saying KD is right or wrong, but it does make sense or does it? For the bandwidth challenged "warning" this is a 23 minute video. QB


US seals deal on $3.48 billion sale of missiles, technology to UAE

At least we know the MIC is making a profit! QB



WASHINGTON — The United States has reached a deal to sell $3.48 billion worth of missiles and related technology to the United Arab Emirates, a close Mideast ally, as part of a massive buildup of defense technology among friendly Mideast nations near Iran.
Pentagon spokesman George Little announced the Christmas Day sale on Friday night.
He noted that the U.S. and U.A.E. have a strong defense relationship and are both interested in “a secure and stable” Persian Gulf region.
The deal includes 96 missiles, along with supporting technology and training support that Little says will bolster the nation’s missile defense capacity.
The deal includes a contract with Lockheed Martin to produce the highly sophisticated Terminal High Altitude Area Defense, or THAAD, weapon system for the U.A.E.
Tom McGrath, vice president and program manager for Lockheed Martin’s THAAD program, said in a statement released in Dallas that it was the first foreign military sale of the THAAD system.
THAAD interceptors are produced at Lockheed Martin’s Pike County Facility in Troy, Ala. The launchers and fire control units are produced at the company’s Camden, Ark., facility.
Wary of Iran, the U.S. has been building up missile defenses of its allies, including a $1.7 billion deal to upgrade Saudi Arabia’s Patriot missiles and the sale of 209 Patriot missiles to Kuwait, valued at about $900 million.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/us-seals-deal-on-348-billion-sale-of-missiles-technology-to-uae-a-close-ally-in-mideast/2011/12/30/gIQAukcYRP_story.html?tid=pm_politics_pop


BP employees could face criminal spill charges


I thought this was all cleaned up and forgotten about just like Fukushima. QB
Federal prosecutors are considering criminal charges against individual BP engineers for allegedly providing federal regulators with false information related to the safety of the well that was at the center of the nation's largest offshore oil spill, according to a source involved with the case.
The source said it is not yet clear if the Department of Justice will target individual BP employees or focus on charges against the company. But the source said a decision could be made as soon as next month.
The charges could come nearly two years after the Macondo well blowout and Deepwater Horizon rig explosion killed 11 workers and spilled an estimated 4.9 million barrels of oil into the Gulf of Mexico.
The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday, according to people familiar with the matter, that federal prosecutors were preparing felony charges against several Houston-based engineers and at least one of their supervisors.
Charges under consideration could relate to providing false information in federal documents, with a penalty of up to five years in prison and a fine, the paper reported. It also said that prosecutors could decide not to bring charges against the individuals.
The Chronicle reported in September that the federal task force formed to investigate the Deepwater Horizon incident was looking into whether BP failed to properly report changes in the well's pressure during drilling to regulators.
Chronicle sources said then that prosecutors were looking at an email sent by a BP geological operations manager to BP engineers about a week before the well blew out that indicated that the drilling crew had encountered different pressures than expected.
At the time, BP told the Chronicle that it routinely provided regulators with necessary information. Thursday, company spokesman Daren Beaudo declined to comment on possible charges against BP or its employees.

Thursday, December 29, 2011

Soros Sees Gold Prices on Brink of Bear Market

Gold is poised to complete its 11th consecutive annual gain, the longest winning streak in at least nine decades, on the brink of a bear market.
George Soros, the billionaire who two years ago called it the “ultimate asset bubble,” cut 99 percent of his holdings in the first quarter, Securities and Exchange Commission data show. Hedge fund managers John Paulson, Paul Touradji and Eric Mindich also sold bullion this year. While speculators in New York futures are the least bullish (.MMGCNET) in 31 months, the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 44 traders and analysts is for prices to rally as much as 40 percent to $2,140 an ounce in 2012.
The divergence of views is widening after prices declined 19 percent from a record close of $1,900.23 on Sept. 5, or 1 percentage point away from a bear market. As some investors retreated to cash amid a $10 trillion slump in global equity values since May, others bought more metal, taking holdings in exchange-traded products to an all-time high two weeks ago. Bullion’s 7.6 percent gain in 2011 means it’s on track to beat stocks, bonds and the dollar for a second straight year.
“It’s done its job this year of protecting investors,” said Michael Cuggino, 48, who helps manage about $15 billion of assets, including $3 billion in gold, at Permanent Portfolio Funds in San Francisco and correctly predicted in February that prices would keep rising. “Gold has been all over the place. If you bought gold at $1,800 then you aren’t too happy. Some people will get out of gold, but the longer-term investors will remain.”

Trading Partners


Fed Says Wall Street Dealers Tighten Terms on Hedge-Fund Securities Trades

Wall Street dealers made it tougher for hedge funds to finance trading of securities and derivatives in the three months through November, a Federal Reserve survey showed today.
Responses “indicated a broad but moderate tightening of credit terms applicable to important classes of counterparties,” especially hedge-fund clients, trading real estate investment trusts and nonfinancial corporations, according to the quarterly survey of senior credit officers at 20 dealers covering the period of September to November. The central bank released the report in Washington.
The report adds to evidence of stress in the financial system from Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis. Investor concern about the continent’s turmoil has helped drive the premium banks pay to borrow dollars to the highest in more than two years. The Fed survey didn’t discuss causes of the tighter financing terms.
Respondents reporting tougher borrowing terms for hedge funds “most frequently pointed to a worsening in general market liquidity and functioning and to reduced willingness to take on risk and, to a lesser extent, adoption of more-stringent market conventions and deterioration in the strength of counterparties as the reasons,” the Fed said.

Credit Limits

The Fed’s Senior Credit Officer Opinion Survey on Dealer Financing Terms was conducted from Nov. 15 to Nov. 28. Respondents, who aren’t identified, “account for almost all of the dealer financing of dollar-denominated securities for nondealers and are the most active intermediaries” in over-the- counter derivatives (OTCDTOTL) markets, the Fed said.
Eighty percent of dealers also reported lowering credit limits for some specific financial-institution counterparties, the Fed said.
U.S. economic data released today may point to easing terms for bank customers as the world’s largest economy improves. Companies cranked out more goods in December and pending sales of existing homes jumped in November for a second month.
The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago Inc. said its business barometer (CHPMINDX) was little changed at 62.5 from a seven-month high of 62.6 in November. The index (SPX) of signed contracts (USPHTMOM) to buy previously owned houses rose 7.3 percent after climbing 10.4 percent the prior month, the National Association of Realtors said. Both figures surpassed the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

‘Signs of Life’

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Closing Strait of Hormuz Might Be Self-Inflicted Wound for Iran

By Peter S. Green and Mark Shenk
Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) -- Although it would be relatively easy for Iran to make good on threats to close the strategic waterway that links the Persian Gulf and the Arabian Sea, doing so might hurt Iran more than any other country.
“Iran is as reliant, if not more reliant, on the Strait of Hormuz than any other country,” said Ali Nader of the RAND Corp. research institute in a telephone interview.
Iran threatened anew today to halt traffic through the strait, the route for about a third of the world’s seaborne- traded oil last year, according to U.S. Energy Department data.
“Iran has total control over the strategic waterway,” Iranian Naval Commander Admiral Habibollah Sayari told Iran’s Press TV today as the Iranian navy conducted a 10-day exercise in international waters. “Closing the Strait of Hormuz is very easy for Iranian naval forces.”
“The free flow of goods and services through the Strait of Hormuz is vital to regional and global prosperity,” said Lieutenant Rebecca Rebarich, a U.S. Navy spokeswoman in Bahrain, site of the 5th Fleet headquarters, in an e-mail. “Any disruption will not be tolerated.”
NYMEX crude oil prices fell back today after rising by about 1.5 percent to more than $101 a barrel yesterday, when Iranian Vice President Mohammad Reza Rahimi threatened to close the 21 mile-wide strait if the West imposed new economic sanctions on Iran.
NYMEX West Texas Intermediate crude fell some 1.7 percent to $99.65 a barrel in New York, and ICE Brent Spot fell more than 1.7 percent to almost $107.40 a barrel.
Impact on Iran

Gold Posts Longest Slump Since 2009

Gold fell, capping the longest slump since October 2009, and silver tumbled to a three-month low as Europe’s deepening debt crisis drove commodities and stocks lower.
The euro dropped to an 11-month low against the dollar as lending to financial institutions sent the European Central Bank’s balance sheet to a record high. The Standard & Poor’s GSCI index of 24 raw materialsand the MSCI World Index of equities were poised for the biggest declines in two weeks. Platinum approached the lowest since November 2009, and palladium dropped almost 3 percent.
The ECB said lending to euro-area banks jumped 214 billion euros ($276.9 billion) to 879 billion in the week ended Dec. 23, bolstering credit to the economy during the fiscal turmoil. Gold has slumped 19 percent from a record $1,923.70 an ounce on Sept. 6, partly on sales to cover losses in other markets. About $10 trillion has been erased from global equities (MXWD) since May.
“What’s going on in Europe is very worrying,” James Dailey, who manages $215 million at TEAM Financial Management LLC in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, said in an e-mail. “The dollar’s strength is working against all commodities, including gold.”
Gold futures for February delivery declined 2 percent to settle at $1,564.10 at 1:47 p.m. on the Comex in New York. The price dropped for the fifth straight session, the longest slide since October 2009. The commodity headed for the first quarterly slump since September 2008.
Silver futures for March delivery fell 5.2 percent to $27.234 an ounce on the Comex. Earlier, the price touched $27.10, the lowest since Sept. 26. The metal has plummeted 45 percent from a 31-year high of $49.845 on April 25.
India, China

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

The reason I am posting this is because there is nothing to explain the broad brushed strokes of these company execs who claim that Obamacare will cost jobs. Perhaps they can cut a few executive salaries rather than grow on the backs of their minimum wage employees with low end or no healthcare currently provided. I would like to see some details from the consulting firms, but I am sure none will be forthcoming. This is why we needed a public healthcare system aka Canada and Australia. If this will be the dismal failure that they predict and will cost them money to create jobs, then who will benefit? I know a lot about the healthcare consultants and the kickbacks that are made to corporate bottom lines. They actually making more money by using these consultants. How do I know? I used to work for one. The second story is something that will affect all Americans. Queenbee
Now on to the story:


Puzder: Job Creation Is Price for New U.S. Health Law
Pudzer: I am not an expert on health-care policy, but I do know something about job creation. So when a House Oversight and Government Reform subcommittee asked me to testify about the effect on employers of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, sometimes known as Obamacare, I thought I could offer some insights.
As I told the committee in a July 28 hearing, it is critical that Congress does a good job of balancing the benefits of new legislation against the costs of that legislation. That process begins with recognizing that laws like Obamacare come at a price.
Our company, CKE Restaurants Inc., employs about 21,000 people (our franchisees employ 49,000 more) in Carl’s Jr. and Hardee’s restaurants. For months, we have been working with Mercer Health & Benefits LLC, our health-care consultant, to identify Obamacare’s potential financial impact on CKE. Mercer estimated that when the law is fully implemented our health-care costs will increase about $18 million a year. That would put our total health-care costs at $29.8 million, a 150 percent increase from the roughly $12 million we spent last year.
The money to cover our increased expenses will have to come from somewhere. We are a profitable company and, after paying our obligations, we reinvest our earnings in the business. Reinvesting in the business is how we grow, create jobs and opportunity. This is true for most U.S. businesses.

Cutting Spending

To offset higher health-care expenses, we will have to cut spending on new restaurant construction, one of our largest discretionary spending areas. But building new restaurants is how we create jobs. An $18 million increase in our costs would more than consume the $8.8 million we spent on new restaurant construction last year, leaving nothing for growth. We will also need to reduce our general capital spending, which also creates jobs and allows us to improve our infrastructure and maintain our business. In summary, our ability to create new jobs could vanish.
To reduce the financial impact of Obamacare, many businesses, including ours, will have to consider increasing the number of part-time employees (those who work less than 30 hours a week as defined under the health-care law) and reducing the number of full-time employees. So, some individuals seeking full-time work will need to find two jobs.
Automation will also become more appealing. For example, although we value the personal touch, electronic ordering kiosks will become more economically desirable. Nationwide, 63 percent of our employees are minorities and 62 percent are female. Unfortunately, these cuts will affect them the most.
The complexity of this legislation makes it hard to anticipate costs in the future. Our investments pay off -- when they are successful -- over the long term. Because we don’t know what our health-care expenses will be in two or three years, we are unable to determine with any certainty how much our investments will have to return for us to be profitable. All of that counsels in favor of holding off on new investments and saving our funds. We want to grow. But we are unable to do so knowing that large and undetermined liabilities will absorb funds we otherwise would invest for expansion.
My testimony was followed by that of Grady Payne, chief executive officer of Connor Industries Inc., a supplier of cut lumber and assembled wood products for shipping and crating needs. Based in Fort WorthTexas, it has plants and employees in eight states and employs 450 people. He laid out the options open to his company under the health-care law, each of which would cost $1 million or more. According to Payne, that amount is “more than the company makes.” He concluded that his company’s goals have turned “from ‘hire-and-grow’ to ‘cut-and- survive.’”

Tipping Point: Nursing home industry faces financial crisis
Dec 16 2011 By Molly Newman


Rising health care costs and declining Medicaid reimbursements have been major drains on the balance sheets of American skilled nursing homes for some time.
Now, tack on an 11.1-percent cut to federal Medicare reimbursements, which went into effect on Oct. 1, and the nursing home industry is nearing a tipping point.
The financial crisis is forcing Wisconsin’s nursing homes to reevaluate their business models, and the problems could force some of them to go out of business.
The crisis is being driven by a series of societal factors:
The population of aging baby boomers who need care continues to surge, but cuts in Medicaid and Medicare reimbursements result in lower revenues for health care providers, including nursing homes.
The elderly are living longer, but requiring more care, and the costs for that care continue to skyrocket.
The collapse of the housing market has diminished the ability of many seniors to use their homes to finance their elderly care.
Many seniors are outliving their financial resources to pay for their elderly care.
A survey by the Alliance for Quality Nursing Home Care shows the recent Medicare reimbursement reduction will result in at least 20,000 potential job layoffs and prevent the creation of another 20,000 new jobs in skilled care nursing facilities nationwide.
“It is a financial crisis for the industry — there is no question about it,” said Scott McFadden, chief executive officer of The Lutheran Home and Harwood Place in Wauwatosa.
More than half of The Lutheran Home’s 120 permanent residents are on Medicaid, and the business has been losing significant revenue on caring for those patients for years, he said.
“We’re not alone in that — most of our peers are going through the same thing,” McFadden said.
Nursing homes in Wisconsin experienced the sixth-largest gap in the nation between the cost of care and reimbursements for Medicaid patients in 2010, according to Eljay LLC, an accounting and long-term care consulting firm. The average per-day difference was $26.54 — a cost that falls on the nursing home.
“When you get into $30 per day deficits, it’s getting to be unmanageable,” said Rob Schlicht, director of health care consulting at Wauwatosa-based Wipfli LLP.
In the past, nursing homes could depend on a slight increase in Medicare reimbursement each year, which went toward filling the Medicaid gap, Schlicht said. That’s no longer the case.
“The declining revenues are hurting nursing homes in Wisconsin,” Schlict said. “The cost of doing business outpaces the reimbursement that they get from the government.”
Each state has its own formula to determine reimbursements for skilled nursing services, said Bill Mulligan, managing director of corporate finance at Ziegler Capital Management in Milwaukee. He has worked in the industry for 25 years and currently provides fixed rate financing to skilled nursing facilities.
“Medicaid reimbursement has not kept up with inflation, so Medicare utilization has been increasingly important,” he said. “Kind of the saving grace for the nursing homes is Medicare utilization has gone up significantly.”
The recent cut was a drastic change, so it drew sharp criticism, Mulligan said.
Since skilled nursing facilities lose the most on Medicaid patients, some are trying to attract more private pay patients through assisted and independent living communities, said Romy McCarthy, director at Ziegler.
Other nursing homes have reduced bed numbers, merged, sold the business or closed their doors as a result of consistent Medicaid shortfalls, she said.
“A lot of organizations are revisiting, ‘Is it viable for me to be in this line of work?” McCarthy said. “If they can’t even break even, how will they survive going forward?”

Severe shortfalls